Thursday, June 6, 2013
A632.1.4.RB - Multistage Decision-Making_Washington James
After reading Chapter 3 of the Wharton text, I
am not sure if I would overhaul my decision making process. I have learned over time that one of the
biggest factors to making any decisions is to take into consideration the
overall impact of my decisions and how it affects everyone around me. I am sure in my maturation I have learned to
make better decisions. I often try to
teach my kids about the decisions they make; however through this course, I have
learned that I have failed to comprehend how many decisions I make on a daily
basis. Some of these decisions are no
brainers while others are complex; and I often find myself putting them off until
a later date. As educated as I am, I
will admit that I an uncomfortable with the complex equations used in the text
and I will more than likely never use them in my decision making process. I have
been told that I am person that researches all options available to me and then
I weigh the overall value of potential results (dynamic decision making) before
deciding (which drives my wife crazy because I will go back and forth). But I
do not feel that I make decisions impulsively. I have used many different techniques
when it comes to making a decision about life changing events and my fall back
is a list of pros and cons. I will confess however that I do not view decisions
from a myopic perspective, which has been supported through many personality
assessment which state that I am a strategic thinker (always looking toward the
future in my decision making process). I
am not sure if reading Chapter 3 will impact my forward planning on my decision
making process. I usually research the background of major decision and make
sure I am very knowledgeable and understand specific issues that surround the
problem before me, which is similar to what is mention in the text. However, I am not sure if I will embrace using
multi-stage equations for my decision making process. I am not a fan of trial
and error; too many unknown risks. To me self-preservation and the well-being
of my family will always be on the forefront of my decision making. As for applying the optimal dynamic decision
analysis to predict the future impact of today's decision; thus serving as a valuable
asset? I believe having the ability to
retrieve past data from my own life experiences and the experiences of others
to address present decision making is a valuable tool. Due to the changing
environment, we must understand that no one situation from the past will be identical
to present situations; however, there will be some similarities. I feel it
would be a travesty if decisions were constantly made without understanding
that there is similar information available for application to a specific
problem. It can be as simple as trying a
new bank and realizing that although on the surface their benefits seem great, but
later you find out their customer service is horrible or as complex as taking
the job of a life-time only to realize that it involve a lot of travel that
will take you away from your family. No one ever said making decisions was
supposed to be easy.
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